Do Republicans have any chance of winning the Senate back? And could Democrats gain a filibuster-proof majority if they have ...

When the polls close, how quickly the votes will be counted, and what FLIPR projects in the most important races of 2026.

Republicans have a lot of problems, but there’s one common cause: Trump We’re long past the days when putting “Trump” in a headline would guarantee you a million clicks, but I wonder if we’ve been ...

One more newsletter for you before we publish our final FLIPR forecast shortly after midnight. If you’re new here, we do not usually post this much: it’s typically ~3 items a week, not three a day.

Hosting rotates between Nate Silver, Jerusalem Demsas, Lakshya Jain, Galen Druke, and Matt Yglesias. Guests include Dave Weigel, Larry Sabato, Sean Trende, Clare Malone, Greg Bluestein, Lenny Bronner, ...

Political commentators have been obsessed with potential polling error this cycle. And frankly, with the combination of recent high-profile misses and polls looking ...

I woke up very early today.1 Believe it or not, I get more sleep than you might assume — and the extra hour helped — but I’m no longer as much of a night owl as I pretend to be. One thing I’ve always ...

This time, we’ll curate things a bit more.2 From among the 40,000 simulations that FLIPR ran on Saturday, I’ve chosen 13 ...