There’s plenty of press about sticker shock on halloween candy prices this year, but the day having arrived and the candy now ...

There’s plenty of press about sticker shock on halloween candy prices this year, but the day having arrived and the candy now opened, I can tell you the biggest shock to me was how notably inferior it ...

This is my last post before the midterms Tuesday. What will they bring? Midterm elections are usually bad for the President’s ...

I saw a paper presented at the Economic Science Association meeting that relates to my project on fine-tuning with Josh ...

The largest US prediction market Kalshi currently gives Democrats a 91% chance to take the House and a 66% chance to take the ...

Based on all of the good predictors that I track, GDP growth for the 3rd quarter of 2026 will likely be right around 3.2%: ...

A recent article in The Guardian profiles economist Isabella Weber. She doesn’t seem to like other economists very much, ...

A nice characteristic of a Sobol is that the observations are equally spaced apart. That means that there is no error due to ...

Elizabeth Holmes is a very clever woman. She was an honors student in chemical engineering at Stanford, which demonstrates ...

When WSJ reporter John Carreyrou started an investigation in 2015, Holmes initiated a hardball campaign to stop Carreyrou ...